As the new year unfolds, it is always a healthy exercise to look
ahead to key opportunities and key challenges. Certainly such an effort
is in order for congregations in North America. I plan to look at
thirteen of those issues in this blog and my blog on Wednesday.
This extrapolation is not an exercise in keen foresight or
extraordinary mental acumen. I am simply looking at current issues that
seem to be gaining momentum. These issues will present themselves
unevenly to different churches. But I foresee that tens of thousands of
American congregations will be impacted by each of them.
I am grateful to Sam Rainer for his recent post, “Looking Ahead to 2013: What Should the Church Expect.”
Many of his seminal ideas are captured in these articles. Though I list
the issues in numerical order, I am not attempting to assign any degree
of importance of one over another.
- The impact of the “nones.” The 2012 study by Pew Research rightfully garnered much attention. The percentage of the adult U. S. population that claims no religious affiliation increased from 15 percent in 2007 to 20 percent in 2012. That is an amazing 33 percent increase in that one category in a relatively short period. One implication for local congregation is the decrease of marginal church attendees, often called “CEO” (Christmas Easter Only) Christians. There is no longer much societal pressure to attend church. Those on the margins are thus falling off completely. There will continue to be a financial impact since these infrequent attendees typically provided some level of giving to their churches.
- Migration back to small groups. For three decades, the key emphasis in American church life has been the corporate worship experience. Though that emphasis is not going away, there is an increasing emphasis on moving people to small groups of all kinds: Sunday schools; home groups; life groups; etc. There is an increasing awareness that those who are in groups have a higher level of commitment in almost all areas of church life. As the Sunday school movement swept the nation for a half-century through the 1970s, a similar groups movement is already underway and should gain even more momentum. Continue at Thom Rainer
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